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May 2025 - Market Commentary

Market Commentary
Written by
Published on
17 June 2025

The Fund delivered +0.67% in May, 9.47% over 12 months and 9.24% annualised over three years continuing to deliver over 5% net return above the RBA cash rate.

Comparisons in Credit

Credit continues to attract significant investor interest, and with that comes a growing number of new funds and strategies seeking capital. Many of these advertise high yields and strong return profiles, often with terminology that suggests robust downside protection — such as “first ranking security,” “look-through LVRs,” or “first loss capital.” While these features can form part of a sound structure, they are not guarantees of quality in and of themselves. The technical detail matters — and so does the experience of the team assessing it. In credit, headline terms often obscure material differences in underlying risk. Without full access to the loan level data, transaction documentation, and enforcement mechanisms, it is exceptionally difficult to compare funds on a like-for-like basis. The same language can describe entirely different risk profiles.

Risk and Return

The Manning Monthly Income Fund has now delivered consistent monthly income for nearly a decade — with no negative monthly returns from credit losses. That track record reflects a clear and consistent investment philosophy: preserve capital first and pursue yield only where it is backed by robust asset-backed security and structural protections. We continue to see peers seek higher yields by moving up the risk curve — including concentrated exposures to subordinated debt, thinly capitalised counterparties, or more cyclical lending strategies. While these approaches may produce appealing near term returns, they can expose investors to elevated downside risk, particularly in a tightening economic environment. Our approach remains grounded in delivering resilient, repeatable returns, backed by institutional quality credit work, full transparency into the underlying assets, strong governance over every transaction and deliberate avoidance of complexity that can obscure risk.

Cash Drag and Deployment Timing

This month’s return of 0.67% was modestly softer than recent periods. This reflects a higher than usual average cash holding of approximately 13% during the month, as the Fund positioned for the expected settlement of several large transactions and lender drawdowns.

Such temporary cash balances are an inherent and prudent feature of this asset class. Unlike listed markets, deployment timelines are not always linear — and we will never compromise on asset quality or structure to maintain short term consistency.  We expect this capital to be fully deployed across June.

As credit continues to evolve as an asset class, we believe the importance of experience, structure, and transparency will only increase. The Fund remains highly selective in its deployment and operates in a segment of the market where capacity is inherently limited by the quality and scale of opportunities that meet our criteria, as such, we remain disciplined about how and where we deploy capital.

Written by
Published on
17 June 2025

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