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June 2025 - Market Commentary

Market Commentary
Written by
Published on
15 July 2025

The Fund delivered +0.70% in June, 9.40% over 12 months and 9.30% annualised over three years continuing to deliver over 5% net return above the RBA cash rate.

Staying Disciplined in a Distracted Market

Despite persistently elevated global interest rates, geopolitical instability and signs of broader economic fatigue, listed equity markets continue to post gains, driven more by momentum than fundamentals. In that context, many investors are asking not only what to own, but why.

We remain of the view that the best defense against uncertainty is not a market view but a clear and repeatable investment process. Our approach does not seek to predict economic turning points or short-term price movements. Instead, we focus on identifying assets that can withstand a wide range of market and economic scenarios, including those less favourable than today.

Credit’s Role in a Portfolio

For many investors, credit provides a stable, income generating foundation to portfolios otherwise exposed to asset price volatility. In that context, the role of credit is not to shoot the lights out but to deliver capital stability and a high level of income. In our view, the best credit strategies are defined by their downside management. This means investing in assets where the return of capital is highly likely, where the underlying security can be relied upon in an enforcement scenario, and where asset selection is supported by detailed loan-level analytics, not assumptions or extrapolated modelling.

Holding the Line on Credit Standards

Importantly, while yields across the market may look similar, the risk beneath them can vary significantly. We continue to observe exposures to thinly capitalised lenders, subordinated debt, or structurally weaker loan books - risk factors that may not be readily apparent without deep credit expertise. While some managers provide extensive data, the challenge lies in interpretation. In credit, transparency alone is not enough: understanding how risk is originated, structured and priced requires both access and experience. Headline terms like “first ranking security” or “look through LVR” can describe very different risk profiles depending on what sits beneath them.

Discipline is the Differentiator

Our investment team continues to take a cautious and methodical approach to deployment. That includes full visibility into the performance of every underlying loan pool and the application of a rigorous credit and structuring lens before any capital is deployed. Where a transaction or counterparty does not meet our standards, it doesn’t progress.

The result is a portfolio that is more conservatively positioned than many of our peers, but also more resilient. Our 9+ year track record reflects that consistency. Through a period that has included COVID lockdowns, liquidity shocks, aggressive central bank tightening, and sharp repricing of risk across asset classes, the Fund has continued to deliver monthly income with capital stability. We do not rely on mark-to-market gains, asset revaluations or directional market calls to support return. The outcome for investors has been one of steady income and reliable preservation of capital.

#1 Fixed Interest Fund in Australia FY25

We were pleased to see the Fund recognised by Livewire Markets as the top-performing fixed interest fund in Australia for FY25. While league tables will always fluctuate, this acknowledgement is consistent with our long-term focus on doing the fundamentals well and doing them consistently. That consistency is grounded in discipline - in how we assess risk, structure transactions, and allocate capital.

Written by
Published on
15 July 2025

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